The New Frontline:

Securing the Software Supply Chain

A 2025 analysis of escalating threats targeting CI/CD pipelines and a framework for building resilience.

$60B
Projected Global Cost of Supply Chain Attacks in 2025
45%
of Organizations Predicted to Face Attacks by 2025 (Gartner)
~2x
Increase in Attack Rate from Early 2024 to Mid-2025

Escalating Attack Sophistication

High-profile breaches demonstrate a clear trend: adversaries are systematically targeting the tools, libraries, and infrastructure developers trust. From injecting backdoors into widely-used libraries to hijacking build processes, the entire software delivery lifecycle is under siege.

2020: SolarWinds

Malware injected into Orion updates, compromising over 18,000 customers.

2023: 3CX Desktop App

A trojanized library infected the build process, delivering malware to 600,000 organizations.

2024: XZ Utils & Polyfill.io

A stealth backdoor was inserted into a core Linux library, while a popular CDN was hijacked.

2025: Red Hat GitLab & Hugging Face

A major vendor's internal repositories were breached, while malicious AI/ML models were discovered on a public hub.

supply-chain.incidents.chart.title

supply-chain.incidents.chart.description

The CI/CD Pipeline: An Adversary's "Crown Jewels"

CI/CD pipelines are prime targets because they centralize access to source code, credentials, and production systems. Compromising the pipeline provides an efficient path to an organization's most valuable assets. The following are the top risk vectors identified in recent attacks.

๐Ÿ”‘

Credential & Secret Leakage

Exposed tokens, keys, and credentials in code, scripts, or logs grant attackers direct access to systems.

๐Ÿ“ฆ

Malicious Dependencies

Trojanized libraries and dependency confusion attacks inject malware directly into the build process.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธ

Poisoned Pipeline Execution

Altering pipeline configurations (e.g., YAML files) allows attackers to execute arbitrary commands during a build.

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ

Artifact Tampering

Unsigned or improperly verified build artifacts (binaries, containers) are swapped with malicious versions post-build.

๐Ÿ“ค

Code & Data Exfiltration

A compromised pipeline is used to siphon proprietary source code, internal data, and sensitive customer information.

๐Ÿง 

Emerging AI/ML Risks

Novel threats include poisoned training data, backdoored models, and prompt injection attacks targeting the AI/ML supply chain.

A Unified CI/CD Security Maturity Model

To combat these threats, organizations can adopt a structured, four-level maturity framework. Each level builds upon the last, introducing progressively stronger controls to measurably reduce risk and align with global compliance standards.

Level 1

Baseline Hygiene

Establish fundamental controls like MFA, protected branches, and basic dependency scanning to eliminate low-hanging fruit.

Level 2

Preventive Automation

Implement automated guardrails such as gated PR pipelines, artifact signing, secret scanning, and SBOM generation.

Level 3

Real-Time Oversight

Enforce real-time checks, including SBOM validation in CI, Just-In-Time (JIT) access, and anomaly detection monitoring.

Level 4

Advanced / Zero Trust

Adopt an "assume breach" posture with reproducible builds, end-to-end provenance, and zero-trust networking for all CI/CD components.

Gartner's Prediction: Organizational Risk

Gartner's forecast that nearly half of all organizations will experience a software supply chain attack by 2025 underscores the urgency of adopting mature security practices.

Mapping Maturity to Global Compliance

Advancing through the maturity model not only strengthens security but also ensures alignment with key international regulations, turning compliance from a burden into a byproduct of good practice.

EU Cyber Resilience Act (CRA)

Mandates secure-by-design principles and vulnerability reporting, with full SBOM compliance required by December 2027.

  • Level 2: SBOM generation meets initial requirements.
  • Level 3: Enforced SBOM usage satisfies core CRA mandates.
  • Level 4: Automated reporting aligns with CRA disclosure timelines.

EU NIS2 Directive

Requires comprehensive supply chain risk management and structured incident handling for critical sectors.

  • Level 3: Supplier security reviews directly support NIS2 rules.
  • Level 4: Continuous supplier risk scoring institutionalizes compliance.

How We Can Help: Supply Chain Security Services

We help organizations build resilient, secure software supply chains through comprehensive assessments and hands-on implementation.

๐Ÿ“Š

Maturity Assessment

Comprehensive evaluation of your current CI/CD security posture against our four-level maturity framework. We identify gaps, prioritize risks, and provide a clear roadmap to advance through each level with measurable milestones.

๐Ÿ”’

CI/CD Pipeline Hardening

Strengthen your build infrastructure with defense-in-depth controls: enforce least-privilege access, implement pipeline-as-code reviews, deploy runtime security monitoring, and establish secure secret management to prevent credential leakage.

โœ๏ธ

Signed & Verifiable Builds

Implement cryptographic signing for all build artifacts and establish end-to-end provenance using SLSA frameworks and in-toto attestations. Ensure every artifact can be traced back to its source commit with tamper-proof verification.

๐Ÿ“ฆ

Container Hardening

Secure your container supply chain from base image to production deployment: vulnerability scanning, minimal base images, runtime security policies, image signing, and continuous compliance monitoring to prevent container-based attacks.

Ready to Strengthen Your Supply Chain Security?